A disruptive innovation is one that
dramatically shifts the existing evolutionary path of one or more technologies
in a significant way (Laureate Education, 2014). In other words, the regularly
pace of development is thrown all higgledy-piggledy because something
completely unexpected comes to roost in the barn. Think Tetris to video games,
or Tesla’s batteries to solar power, or even Jar-Jar Binks to Star Wars. Each
of these things forever and irrevocably altered their environments, and not
always in good ways.
Sometimes, items of technology that seem as if
they will be disruptive when they come onto the stage turn out to be not much
more than a blip on the radar. For example, consider the potential of SixthSense Technology.
This seemingly miraculously cost effective innovation entered the stage from
the mind of one man, Pranav Mistry. Admittedly, when I first watched his Ted
Talk in 2009, I was still new to my research into educational technology and
thrilled at the possibility of interacting with my digital self without clunky
IO devices like keyboards, mice, or smartphones. This one device could replace
everything from my phone, to my camera, to my laptop, and my Nintendo Wii.
More than that, it seemed a triumph for the
little guy. Persevering with an invention that was cost-effective for the
masses and that any moderately interested do-it-yourselfer could build.
Socially, this could begin to level the playing field between the “haves” and “have-nots.”
This was not a $1,500 lease for Google Glass; it was awesome technology for the
masses at $350 a pop! It could create a more seamless and natural interaction
with my digital world. The best part … I could carry it with me easily,
hands-free, wherever I go. In education, the possibility of students using
these devices to interact with textbooks, or collaboratively paint on the wall
is exciting. Walking up to a classmate and having it instantly recognize their
face and splash a label on their shirt could make sorting out social cliques a
piece of virtual cake, preventing embarrassing situations where someone from
the AV club tries to ask out a cheer-leader. (Of course, that would eliminate
most all of Disney’s tween and high school movie collection, but I’m sure they would
think of something.)
Ok, maybe those last two are a bit of a jest.
However, they emphasize a key point about SixthSense technology. For all of its
potential, there are many significant drawbacks, which, in my opinion, have led
to its more-or-less complete lack of advancement or adoption since that Ted
Talk six years ago. First, it is nearly impossible to use while moving. A significant
advantage of our current smartphones is that their physicality allows them to
be used and handled easily while in motion. Second, while dialing from the palm
of your hand is interesting, it also seems prone to over-sensitivity and
positional glitches. Again, the current form factor works very well because of
its consistency and ease. Finally, and this is a big one, it needs a wall, or
other stationary object upon which to project in order to function. I imagine
entire storefronts, malls, and parks having integrated “standing zones” where
you can stop to use your SixthSense. Instead of people walking around and
staring at their phones, they will be standing around staring at walls. It has
potential, but in its current, six-year old form, it has severe usage restrictions
that I feel have contributed to its lack of evolution and adoption.
So, to predict how many year I believe the
SixthSense has left before another emerging technology or disruptive innovation
replaces it, I have to answer a negative six. I can see where some people may
feel it is a disruptive innovation. However, I believe it is more of a one-hit
wonder, destined to follow in the footsteps of A-Ha or Flock of Seagulls.
References
Laureate Education (Producer). (2014). David
Thornburg: Disruptive technologies [Video file]. Baltimore, MD:
Author.
Mistry, P. (2010). About. Retrieved from http://www.pranavmistry.com/projects/sixthsense/
TED India. (Producer). (2009). The thrilling potential of SixthSense technology [Video file]. Retrieved fromhttp://www.ted.com/talks/pranav_mistry_the_thrilling_potential_of_sixthsense_technology.html
Brad,
ReplyDeleteMy first post disappeared. Sigh. I stated that your post was great! I wondered what could of been done with Sixth Sense' to make it more successful. I also saw that you talked about it being a one hit wonder. Why?
Hi Tyese,
ReplyDeleteI am not sure what could make it more successful. While I am intrigued with the idea of gestural control, I am not sure how a projection based system like that could surmount the challenges I mention. No matter what, it needs some surface upon which to work. While this could be cool at workstations, and other places where the environment could be setup to work well with this technology, as a replacement for our everyday mobile phone and tablet usage, I think it leaves a lot to be desired.
The one-hit-wonder comment is reflective of the feeling I have about this particular Ted Talk. I have seen it referenced many times in the past 6 years, and yet nothing more has really come of it other than being referenced. It is not a comment on Pranav's ability or future potential, but a metaphor for SixthSense's quick rise to fame and subsequent stagnation.
Does that make sense?
Brad